President Biden’s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump.
Campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said in a memo that investing in Florida is part of the Biden campaign’s pathway to 270 electoral votes. Trump won the Sunshine State in 2020 with more than 51 percent, compared to Biden’s 48 percent.
“Make no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trump’s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition,” she said.
…
The Biden campaign has also set its sights on flipping North Carolina in November. Trump won North Carolina by a tight margin in 2020, and Biden visited the state as part of his tour of every battleground state last month.
They have so much fucking money on hand they can blow it in Florida to troll Trump and Desantis. I think roughly 10-20% of the Republican party is,
It already cost Biden over a billion dollars in 2020 to win the electoral by a very small margin…
Pew research did a poll and found that 12% of respondents were capable of operating a Nuclear Sub (the reality is less than 1%)
Weirdly topical, but I’m assuming they meant Naval Nuclear Engineers…
The ASVAB is typical standardized test where the best score is 99%. Weighted for when the test is taken.
So if only 1% could be a nuke, that would be assuming 100% of people take the test and the Navy only takes 99.
Now, I got a 99, and got into the program. But there was people in the high 70s as well. People could retake the test as many times as they want. And there is/was even a supplemental test people could take if their main ASVAB wasn’t quite high enough.
So yeah, 12% of poll responders being able to do the toughest job of a nuclear sub doesn’t sound right…
It’s really much higher than that.
You didn’t click the link did you?
The poll was about who is “licensed” not just “smart enough.”
You didn’t click the link did you?
The on hyperlinked in the previous sentence that just says “polls are broken”?
No, I don’t click on most links that don’t say where they’re going and sounc conspiracial. I’m on a phone and can’t “hover” to see.
I just did tho:
For example, in a February 2022 survey experiment, we asked opt-in respondents if they were licensed to operate a class SSGN (nuclear) submarine. In the opt-in survey, 12% of adults under 30 claimed this qualification, significantly higher than the share among older respondents. In reality, the share of Americans with this type of submarine license rounds to 0%.
So, OP read one thing, and then said another.
But that’s about something factual, not an opinion like “who are you going to vote for”.
And it is specifically about online opt in polls…
Which is probably why OP decided to hide the link. You don’t even need to read the title to realize why it’s not relevant. The link says it plain as day.
But man, I’ve been overestimating people recently.
If you truly don’t understand why “online opt in polls” are the worst kind of polling I can take the time to explain it. But it’s basically like saying trump is selling shitty shoes so you’ve decided to go barefoot the rest of your life.
“online opt in polls” are the worst kind of polling
YouGov, SurveyMonkey, The Harris Poll, Morning Consult and Lucid are all online opt-in polls. Those polls, and others like them, are the ones that everyone uses to show that Trump is ahead of Biden.
The rest are generally random-digit dialing phone polls. Guess what: those are even worse.
