Every poll is a lie. Vote!
The article spent a lot of time speculating about the reasons why one candidate or the other had a lead, without providing any data. Then it gets to this guy’s model, and it’s based off predictit??
I think Harris pulls this off, but as problematic as some polls can be, betting markets are even less reliable. This article essentially means nothing.
“It’s been going back and forth around the 270 line,” he told Fortune. “Right now, it’s a tossup according to the PredictIt numbers. The big question in my mind is, how much Republican bias is there in the prediction markets?”
According to this data person, Trump blew a huge lead to make it evens. Please vote
According to betting data. I remain skeptical — it’ll be a tight one.
Do not let your guard down. Vote. And do what you can to assure those around you vote as well. Especially that well meaning 20 something in your life with a high danger to procrastinate.
