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5 points

Could this be a precursor to Putin using tactical nuclear weapons against the Ukraine military on Russian soil?

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24 points

Tricking Russia into bombing Russia.

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11 points

Nah.

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10 points
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Extract from Basic Principles of the Russian Federation’s State Policy in the Domain of Nuclear Deterrence

“The Russian Federation retains the right to use nuclear weapons in response to the use of nuclear weapons and other types of weapons of mass destruction against it and/or its allies…” But that sentence ends with an unusual statement: “… and also in the case of aggression against the Russian Federation with the use of conventional weapons, when the very existence of the state is put under threat”

“In a local war with a non-nuclear adversary, however, the small-scale tactical use of nuclear weapons might be a serious temptation, especially if the war were not going according to plan. In short, the impulse to escalate in a tight corner could be strong.”

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