I havenโt seen this discussed since the debate, and Iโm curious what people think would happen.
(If youโve seen this twice, I first posted it to a community that only allows links to news items, which rule I read only after creating the post. I removed that post)
The idea came from a post-debate discussion on NPR (National Public Radio), where one of the (professional) political commentators was asked if this was possible and they replied, briefly, that it would have to be done soon.
- From the analystโs response, and what I can find online (e.g., here) it seems that itโs not too late for Trump to make this change. Vance would have to voluntarily step down, but I canโt imagine him defying Trump if he was told to beat it.
- Itโs clear Trump isnโt as enamored of Vance as he initially was.
- I think even hard-core conservatives would agree that Vance hasnโt helped Trumpโs campaign, and (as the commentator pointed out) heโs gone off-piste from Trumpโs talking points at times.
- Trumpโs core is voting for Trump; the running mate is a side show, and itโs questionable how much Vance appeals to Trumpโs base. I believe Trump knows all of this, or at least believes it himself.
- Trump prides himself on firing people when he doesnโt like the way things are going, and it would be in keeping character for him to make Vance a scapegoat for the polling reversal and his losing the debate.
Therefore, I think this is not just a purely hypothetical question, but a very real possibility. Trump is chaos at the best of times, and this would be an unsurprising action. Regardless of advice he gets from his handlers, heโll do what he feels like.
So my questions are: first, whoโs the most likely choice for a swap; and second, how do you think itโd impact the election?
