While all those things are likely true, Bethesda also does have a pretty consistent track record of releasing the exact same game over and over, so it’s not exactly an unreasonable prediction that they’ll do it again.
I’m sorry, are you calling Arena, Daggerfall, Morrowind, Oblivion and Skyrim the exact same game? That’s a bit disingenuous.
Brother, these games are thirteen to thirty years old and therefore not in any way relevant to the discussion.
For our sanity we must let TES go. Since Skyrim, Bethesda has only developed Simplified Skyrim In The Wasteland, Buggy Skyrim in the Multiplayer Wasteland, and Very Boring Skyrim in Empty Space. And about a bajillion outright Skyrim re-releases.
Their current leadership is incapable of acknowledging the failures of Starfield, from uninspired game design to extremely outdated engine that holds back the very fundamental vision of the game. Since Bethesda’s leadership hasn’t changed or acknowledged their wrongs, we have every reason to believe that TES6 will make the same mistakes. They do not have the means of their ambition anymore.