cross-posted from: https://lemm.ee/post/53805638

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1 point

I really think GenAI is comparable to the internet in terms of what it will allow mankind in a couple of decades.

Lots of people thought the internet was a fad and saw no future for it …

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1 point

I don’t know. In a lot of usecase AI is kinda crap, but there’s certain usecase where it’s really good. Honestly I don’t think people are giving enough thought to it’s utility in early-middle stages of creative works where an img2img model can take the basic composition from the artist, render it then the artist can go in and modify and perfect it for the final product. Also video games that use generative AI are going to be insane in about 10-15 years. Imagine an open world game where it generates building interiors and NPCs as you interact with them, even tying the stuff the NPCs say into the buildings they’re in, like an old sailer living in a house with lots of pictures of boats and boat models, or the warrior having tons of books about battle and decorative weapons everywhere all in throw away structures that would have previously been closed set dressing. Maybe they’ll even find sane ways to create quests on the fly that don’t feel overly cookie-cutter? Life changing? Of course not, but definitely a cool technology with a lot of potential

Also realistically I don’t think there’s going to be long term use for AI models that need a quarter of a datacenter just to run, and they’ll all get tuned down to what can run directly on a phone efficiently. Maybe we’ll see some new accelerators become common place maybe we won’t.

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1 point

Sure but you had the .com bubble but it was still useful. Same as AI in a big bubble right now doesn’t mean it won’t be useful.

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1 point

Oh yes, there definitely is a bubble, but I don’t believe that means the tech is worthless, not even close to worthless.

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5 points
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Lots of techies loved the internet, built it, and were all early adopters. Lots of normies didn’t see the point.

With AI it’s pretty much the other way around: CEOs saying “we don’t need programmers, any more”, while people who understand the tech roll their eyes.

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-1 points

I believe programming languages will become obsolete. You’ll still need professionals that will be experts in leading the machines but not nearly as hands on as presently. The same for a lot of professions that exist currently.

I like to compare GenAI to the assembly line when it was created, but instead of repetitive menial tasks, it’s repetitive mental tasks that it improves/performs.

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Oh great you’re one of them. Look I can’t magically infuse tech literacy into you, you’ll have to learn to program and, crucially, understand how much programming is not about giving computers instructions.

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1 point

That’s not the way it works. And I’m not even against that.

It sill won’t work this way a few years later.

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2 points

Back then the CEOs were babbling about information superhighways while tech rolled their eyes

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