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12 points

Its impossible for it to not go to shit. The only way to prevent this is proper federation/account migration, because with those any server will just instantly die from users leaving when they start going bad. Lock-in is the biggest reason for everything wrong with the internet.

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4 points
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I believe the official instance already got most of the people who would want to use Bluesky in it.

And even if people did start self hosting their own instances, I am not sure if they could handle the traffic.

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