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44 points

Easy, the MTG player actually wants to draw more therefore the +4 benefits him. Neither the gun nor the rooks stand a chance against him at this point.

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16 points

Yeah but they’re playing mono-W so unless they draw into another plains, probably nothing too threatening is hitting the field.

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4 points

Unless they draw into their Heliod + Ballista combo

… or a tutor that lets them find their Heliod + Ballista combo

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3 points

You’re forgetting that 22 is probably instant speed, which means ballista is dead before it can combo off. So white needs something else to win because strategically black is better with the extra rooks.

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