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19 points

The moment America cannot act as the unilateral head of NATO is the moment it collapses.

France, Germany, The U.K. and Turkey would then become the defacto " great" powers of Europe and the whole balance of power in the E.U. would be thrown off.

Not likely to happen for the time being, but if Trump somehow manages to get elected again the Europeans would be wise to consider their alternative options.

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-24 points

Trump just wanted everyone to spend more on the military. He wasn’t a threat to nato.

Everyone laughed at him. He gave Ukraine javelin missiles. Obama would not give weapons.

Yet, he turned out to be right. The javelins helped Ukraine immensely. Now Europe is spending more as Russia is on their doorstep.

The only good news so far russia ain’t the capable military they use to be.

I’ve pondered when Putin goes away (he will at someone as we all do) will the next guy be worse or better.

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18 points

Trump just wanted everyone to spend more on the military. He wasn’t a threat to nato.

Not US-ian, so I’m going to have to disagree hard. Back in 2016 and 2017 he called NATO “obsolete”, although he later changed his mind and said it was “no longer obsolete”, as well as taking a while to affirm US support for Article 5, and even saying “If they fulfill their obligations to us, the answer is yes,” when asked if the US would defend the Baltic NATO countries.

Now you could argue that he was using this to push the NATO defence spending requirements, which is a fair critique, but it sent a pretty clear message that under his presidency, the US honouring article 5 was conditional. This wasn’t just a message to the other NATO members; it was a message to Putin as well whether intentional or not.

I believe that the silver lining of Trump’s presidency is now being felt as Europe is seriously taking it’s ability to autonomously defend itself seriously. This is probably why Petr Pavl is musing that it may be necessary to go beyond NATO’s 2% spending targets, because Trump could get elected again, or someone like Trump, and there could always be more conditions added to US NATO commitments.

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5 points

NATO defence spending requirements

No such thing. There’s spending goals, not requirements. The whole framing within the US has been nuts in general, it was framed as if there’s a membership fee that’s paid to the US, or in a common pot, while the actual spending goals are on each country’s own military. There’s a common budget for the headquarters and its staff but that has never been in question and everyone is paying their dues, anyway.

And for some reason the US insists on percentage of GDP numbers without even reference to capabilities or, indeed, efficiency. It’s kinda easy for the US to rack up gigantic numbers there as you funnel tons of science funding and general subsidies through the military sector.

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-6 points

Everything in life is conditional. Why should American boys die defending people who won’t defend themselves?

Remember Trump is a bullshit artist. He just talks to sound tough. NATO would stand with or without him. It’ll take more than Trump to break nato up.

I’m not a fan of Trump but I do like that he shook some bushes about funding their militaries. It isn’t our job to save their asses because they’re unwilling.

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13 points

Trump just wanted everyone to spend more on the military. He wasn’t a threat to nato.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/03/04/bolton-says-trump-might-have-pulled-us-out-nato-if-he-had-been-reelected/

I’ve pondered when Putin goes away (he will at someone as we all do) will the next guy be worse or better.

The good go young. Putin will probably live to 100 like the bastard Kissinger if he’s not killed or removed from presidency.

Anyways I would not recommend the assumption that the American right will not try and pull out of NATO. Being anti NATO is now a cornerstone for far right populist’s in the West.

And of course, Russia cannot do all that much to NATO in its current from, but Putin was betting on the U.S. weakening NATO so he could take the baltics and force NATO into an institutional crisis. He just got unlucky that Trump fucked up so badly he couldn’t get a second term, even with trying to steal the election.

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-8 points

Bolton is an idiot. Yes Trump may if the other countries had net met their 2% goal. As an American I’d support pulling out nato if others don’t want to share the burden. If they had met their obligation, not Trump would not have pulled out of nato.

I’m right. I’m just not far right and we have few politicians who are. Most of them have little to no power anyways.

Putin also didn’t realize how bad his army was and how effective the javelin is or how hard the Ukrainians would fight.

I doubt Trump understood how good of a missile it was. He prob thought it was a real javelin.

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