Comment by spooksboots@lemmy.world on Rule of 400

This is not an argument about whether or not the stats are accurate but: I think they’re talking about the US, not the world.

Only 332 million people in the US 😉

Yep that’s why that number is probably wrong

If that is the case than 827,000 people are shot every day in the US… That’s not right either.

It’s literally math for what they are saying when one person out of 400 is shot and it is scaled up to the US population. Even if it was rounded from .5 in a set of 400 that’s still over 400k The actual number is 316 per day. Still a bad number but that is .1% of the number they have given

Not to mention one everyday would be 365 out of 400 every year. Clearly, ~90% of the population isn’t getting shot every year.

Shot doesn’t mean dead and one person can receive multiple gunshot wounds in a year.

That still means everyone in the US is shot in just over a year. That’s not right

Yes. Still, 90% of the population isn’t getting shot every year and a couple of people aren’t going to make up for it with multiple gunshot wounds.

That being said, whatever the real percentage is, it’s still too high

Oh, yes, 1 in 400 is still the wrong proportion, but I guess you can’t say a quarter of a person is shot every 8 months or whatever it would be, if you’re just trying to make a quick and concise point.

Then why choose 400 people, or why include the shooting stat once they went with 400? The number would very much round down to zero, and the post says at least 1 person per day which means that’s the lower bound

There’s just one poor unlucky guy who drives the average up. Keeps surviving though

Bullet wounds Goreg, who spends his free time insulting people with guns and is shot 10,000 a day, was an outlier and should not have been counted.

By my math, at this scale it would be one person shot roughly every 7 years. That’s still kinda scary.

That isn’t right. 1 in 400 means in 400 days everyone has been shot once

The number provided in the post is inaccurate to a real-world scale of US shootings. One person shot every seven years is instead accurate to real world data if the US population were scaled to 400 people.

What number do you have for the actual number? The number I found said 316 every day which makes it about 1 million years with population

316 shootings per day, every day for 7 years, is 807,380 people shot. 807,380 into 331,000,000 (the US population) is one in 400. Therefore if the US population were 400 people, there would be one person shot every 7 years.

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