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23 points

I would argue that SpaceX is now to important to NASA, and therefore the US government, to be allowed to fail. It may not be under Elon’s control, it may not be called SpaceX, but it will continue to exist.

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18 points

Then it would be another Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, etc.

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2 points

I would bet that they’d be owned by one of those.

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