Is Israel going to defy the Security Council to invade Rafah?
Depends. Is the security council going to do anything about it if they do?
They can use it to impose sanctions. Breaking international law, as much as contrarians like to claim otherwise, can come with consequences. No I don’t think blue helmets are going to be deployed but these things aren’t toothless.
Of course they will. This little spat with America over how difficult the genocide is for Biden’s campaign hasn’t slowed down the flow of material aid. They know they can do whatever they want, they’ve pushed as far as broadly declared and publicised genocide without significant consequences, really the only boundary they have left to test is nuking Tehran or something.
They’ve already invaded Rafah. They did it without any press releases because they knew it would create even more international pressure.
