Fidelity has further slashed the estimated worth of its holdings in Reddit and Discord as well as SaaS startup Gupshup.
I read before all this started reddit was valued around $10 billion.
Now it’s already down to $5.5 billion.
These are estimates, since reddit hasn’t gone public yet, there is no official market value.
Still I’m guessing that next week it will be valued even lower. Tomorrow is when the real shit hits the fan.
I wish more people weren’t waiting until June 30 to tentatively make a decision or leave. I have a feeling many of them aren’t leaving if they haven’t already.
5.5 billion … BILLION that’s with a B
Moderators are volunteers
Content is subject to right be forgotten
Management is mostly hostile and toxic
Management is driving away the content creators.
If they decapitated the management (not literally…well…no this is not constructive) and made the API cheap as balls, you might retain the existing users and pull half that are leaving back.
There’s not 5B in advertising opportunity there. Any company that wanted to get out in front of their customers is already in there talking to them for free.
“Tomorrow is when the real shit hits the fan.” I don’t know about that. I think it’ll take a while and there will be several stages. Tomorrow the power users leave, and moderators might either do a lot less or disappear completely.
Then would be a rise in bots (i saw an AITA post i thought might be bot generated as i couldnt possibly think how “OP” could be anything but an asshole) and spammers, people voting might help keep some of that at bay while the users who browse by hot might still get what they want. Then there would likely be migrations of users.
I think people who go to subs like funny and AITA could still be there for a while, but i think the content will degrade and some subs i think have taken permanent hits in viewership. 4 months ago i could think of some where i’d consider advertising a product to a niche, but there’s zero chance i’d be parting with money today.
I think the effects of this will be large and far reaching, but those looking to cash out are still steaming ahead for their IPO payday, and whatever happens from there will be the new owners concern. It’d be different if i thought they wanted to IPO and still hold a large share of the company, but everything im seeing leads me to believe thats not the case.
Tomorrow the power users leave
Today the app users are forced away.
We can already see lemmy.world has grown 15% or 8k users in half a day. If that’s representative, the coming days will be worse for reddit than the blackout and protest period.
That was what I meant, that for reddit the shit hits the fan today for real, as in the consequences of their decision will hit harder when they are actually implemented.
Well, that’s a bit misleading. It was $10 billion in August 21. But all of the startup type tech companies have taken huge dives after that.
So the actual impact of the protests are yet to be seen. E.g. the value of Discord shrank even more than reddit.
I’m pretty sure I saw it valued at 10 bil 14 days ago.
Tech has gone down, then up again, since august, for instance alphabet is higher now than back in August.
