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1 point

you’re mistaken if you think PLA priority is any of the Chip manufacturing fabs.

Priority taking the whole of Taiwan under the control of the mainland Chinese government.

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28 points

If the PRC somehow successfully takes Taiwan, but in doing so, utterly destroys the vast majority of the world’s cutting edge chip foundry lines for cpu + gpu + ram + nvme, it’s a pretty safe bet that the rest of the world will be absolutely fucking livid with China at the very least, because it would cause EVERYONE’S economy to crash.

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-5 points

Bold of you to assume that everyone’s economy isn’t already crashing.

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15 points

The point is not for people to be angry at china. The point is advertising that you’re gonna blow up the world economy if something happens to you, therefore the world has a huge incentive to defend them against china, before they blow up their fabs.

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4 points

That was the underlying implication of my comment. Of course nobody wants any of these threats to be carried out. But they’re useless as geopolitical constraints unless the threat is credible.

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-7 points
*

You’re watching too much political crap news (fearmongering propaganda). Nothing major will happen even if the world loses Taiwan Chip Fabs. Only the USA will make more huge profits because it has local chip manufacturers/foundries like Intel, TSMC, Honeywell, Odyssey Semiconductor, Global Foundry, Tower Semiconductor, Skywater foundry, BAE System, Polar Semiconductor, Lansdale, LA semiconductor, and many other IDMs. The crisis will create demand, They’ll work 24x7 to fulfill the market demand at higher prices. maybe x3 or x5 times the normal market price, increasing the price of consumer electronic goods that may decline sales of electronic goods. Also, will cut the competition by sanctioning the major Chinese semiconductor companies. Leaving only Samsung and a few Japanese players in the market. The conclusion is US will keep making profits and gains, from the crises anywhere on Earth. 🤑

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4 points

You don’t seem to understand the proportion of chips that Taiwan makes for the world these days.

In terms of replacement capacity… there’s not any. You don’t simply flip a switch and start producing other chips on your fab line, let alone scale shit out 5-10x like that on the drop of a hat. It’s not 3D printing. If Taiwan is invaded and they’re forced to destroy their chip industry, there will be an enormous supply shortfall for several YEARS at least, even in the best possible case.

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-1 points

China is mainly concerned with breaking out of the first island chain. Foreign Taiwan is basically a knife held on their throath. The fallout on the day after is worth it to them.

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0 points

An independent Taiwan is nothing of the sort.

The PRC could have adopted a much more diplomatic and friendly approach - think EU-esque. Instead of this dipshit woLf wArRioR crap, the PRC could have taken the more mature and measured approach, and worked towards making a strong industrial, geopolitical, and economic alliance with Taiwan.

Hell, if they just accepted that the slow and steady approach was probably going to work better than the “I’m going to have a tantrum” approach in general, they’d probably be doing way better in a whole slew of areas. They could have essentially created a de facto alliance with Taiwan over shared culture, language, and history… but no, Xi wants to prove how big his dick is I guess.

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1 point
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1 point

If the effect will really be as bad, that will make being livid with China simply irrelevant.

I like Taiwan more than I like PRC.

Still, such a world (after a few decades of dystopian chaos) would definitely have interesting changes.

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