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View all comments yeah I think Trump will in all likelihood be the first repub since dubya to clinch Nevada. As others have noted, NM is wrong lol. Michigan I think Biden will be able to scrape by, despite the loss of the Arab vote. Trump I think will be able to win back Arizona and Georgia, thereby winning the election. So it will 265 to 272, which I think would be the closest election since 1850 something