He won’t be elected. Ever.
Unfortunately, I think you are gravely underestimating his chances.
I ain’t. He got elected once, sure. But that’s when people didn’t really know what he was capable of.
But people wised up. How do I know?
Because he lost while being a sitting president.
He won’t be elected. I’ll be voting and telling everyone I know to go out and vote.
He lost during a crazy pandemic that caused massive uncertainty, at a time when most of the economy was ‘shut down’. And even then, there were enough electoral votes to give him the victory that were less than a 1% margin of going to Trump. So he was shockingly close to winning, given the circumstances. Voting was also easier than ever in 2020, and many of those measures to make voting easier have been undone. So in 2020, you probably didn’t need to go to a job, and even if you did, you could easily mail your vote in. In 2024, a likely Biden voter is more likely to have their job tie them up and are also less likely to reasonably be able to mail in a vote.
More than half of Americans think the economy is in bad shape (whether or not they are accurate is beside the point). That’s generally a bad sign for an incumbent. Trump’s tossing out populist fodder as promises he would certainly break, but there’s a large population willing to bet on that longshot.
