cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/11221842
Yep, it’s like you know this thing where they do many surveys to find out who people are voting for in advance of the elections. As technology develops, so has the ability to more accurately predict and understand the election outcome in advance. I’m not sure if you’ve ever heard about them before, or know what the word means, but if you need some help understanding polling and the margin of error altogether then I’m happy to share. Most polls are focused on swing states where the election will be decided. Biden is particularly not doing well in those states:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
If you actually read those article you’d see that polling overestimated support for Biden and Democrats. So if polling already has Biden trailing and polls overestimate support, that isn’t helping your case.
