The lib meltdown would be glorious. Usually not a fan of Erdogan or NATO, but this would be so funny

100 points

Article 5 doesn’t exist. NATO does whatever the US wants at any moment, it doesn’t matter what any article or contract says.

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51 points
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Yeah this. Like it didn’t activate in the Falklands War for a bunch of reasons, but it would’ve had the USA wanted to bomb and overthrow Argentina’s government.

Which they didn’t as it was an anti-communist military junta.

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19 points
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Even taking it at face value, wouldn’t Isn’treal have to attack Turkey first?

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61 points

Erdogan says this stuff just about every week. Not this exact thing, but he’ll express something pro-Palestinian/anti-Israeli and then either do nothing or do a very small action, usually reversing it quietly. Turkey has the capacity to cripple Israel at any time if they cut off oil flowing there, btw. Erdogan doesn’t even have to do anything involving direct military confrontation. Just shutdown the oil flow from Turkey to Israel. They’d be fucked. I mean I assume Biden would be immediately doing cost analysis on flying helicopters and cargo planes with barrels of oil to Israel … but yeah. Turkey and Erdogan hold a lot of power and will exercise approximately none of it. He just has to please the majority pro-Palestinian Turkish population. Turkey is another puppet of the US even if that’s a hard thing for some to admit. They have been for a long time

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44 points

Erdogan will huff and puff and sell $50 million in missiles to Israel

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33 points

Disregard that, micnd90. It’s a bunch of Erdogan bullshit.

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28 points

Live Erdogan reaction:

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32 points
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Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.

over/under on this:

a) dissolving NATO
b) getting Turkiye removed from NATO

bc I assume it doesn’t result in NATO member states doing anything to Isntreal

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25 points

theres so thing called article 5, Jack

(Israel Attacks a NATO member)

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There was a lot of discussion about the possibility of Italy becoming communist and how to prepare against that. There are expulsion or suspension mechanisms and those were considered to be off the table as an addition, so the general idea was that if a nation is not fulfilling the “values” of the charter or able to be expected to fulfill obligations it has no expectation of having the obligations to it met.

Another point that was raised in the context of a member state becoming communist is that would likely leave anyways, which deflated some of the worry about not having a removal mechanism explicitly laid out.

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They would just argue Israel is the victim of Turkish aggression and not the other way around so Article 5 doesn’t apply even if Israel retaliates.

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20 points

In theory precedent says who attacked first didn’t matter. The US was bombing Afghanistan for 20 years, but when 911 happened the US invoked article 5 and every single NATO country had to donate blood to the cause and suffered fatalities in Afghanistan.

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They’d take (b) because the only thing Euros hate more than each other is Muslims.

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