62 points

While the priors seemed to suggest it could float, the update step showed that was an outlier.

I’ll show myself the door.

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16 points

No please stay, this joke was the only reason I clicked into the comments

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16 points
*

I’ll show myself the door.

Do you want to pick door No. 2?

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2 points
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Hard to answer that since I don’t know which door was picked first.

Then again, I’m taking 3. Goats are cool.

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-3 points

In search of a new car, the player chooses a door, say 1. The game host then opens one of the other doors, say 3, to reveal a goat and offers to let the player switch from door 1 to door 2.

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7 points

At least you only have to sink one Bayesian Superyacht to update your priors. To get at population parameters you would need to sink many Frequentist Superyachts

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53 points
*

Do they do the same diligence for the boats full of hundreds of poor people that sink in the Mediterranean every year? Or only when it’s a couple of rich people?

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35 points

It’s pretty obvious why those ones sink.

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3 points

They need more hulls and bulkheads?

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3 points

Just less poverty

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37 points

The front fell off.

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9 points

I’d like to emphasize that this is not typical.

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34 points

They don’t mention the conspiracy theory: this vessel was owned by the founder of Autonomy software, which died in the accident.

The same day, the ex vice president of Autonomy software, was killed in a car accident.

They were related in a fraud case where HP acquired this company for $11B when actually was worth much less than that, writing off a $8B loss very shortly after. But HP is an expert in overvaluing acquisitions.

Now, I can’t imagine a big HP shareholder like blackrock planning a revenge like this, but indeed is a weird coincidence that the two persons died in a mysterious accident on the same day

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19 points

Had to look the car accident up. I mean that both are killed sounds suspicious, but in case it was by revenge it was planned very well. At least bbc wrote that the women which caused the car accident even stayed at the scene, so no hit and run. And my two cents regarding the Yacht are that even if it was a big boat, I would never underestimate the power of really, really shitty weather (Wasn’t even a waterspoute mentioned somewere?).

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19 points

Moreover, I’ll never understand the people who think that shadowy cabals like this intentionally leave extremely obvious clues. Somewhere like Russia, sure, you want to have plausible deniability while still making it obvious that "I did it’. But why would someone wanting to kill these two people for some unspecified reason want to kill them both on the same day? That’s the absolute last thing you want to do if you’re trying to cover something up.

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14 points

I mean, killing someone isn’t going to bring their money back. Putin has his boyars thrown out of windows to send a message, that’s why it’s obvious.

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0 points
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That’s the absolute last thing you want to do if you’re trying to cover something up.

And that’s exactly what they want you to think.

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9 points

The same day, the ex vice president of Autonomy software, was killed in a car accident.

It was not on the same day. Chamberlain died on 17/08. The Bayesian sunk on the morning of 19/08. I agree that it’s a weird coincidence that the two cofounders died within days of each other, and only a short time after winning their lawsuit. But I can’t imagine it’s a conspiracy. You don’t assassinate someone by sinking their boat in a storm. The road death is not suspicious either, the driver in question is a local woman who is cooperating with police, it’s not like some anonymous driver struck the man down and then disappeared.

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1 point

Honestly, this brings me comfort. Now I know for sure those parasites are dead, and not just on an island after faking their deaths and will sleep better. :)

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5 points

“Billionaires should not exist”. The people who died on the yacht were not quite billionaires, they were worth only nine figures rather than ten. But still, you don’t accumulate that much wealth without exploiting others.

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-5 points
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They don’t mention the conspiracy theory: this vessel was owned by the founder of Autonomy software, which died in the accident.

Ha! The which/who failure makes it sound like the vessel died in the accident.

The same day, the ex vice president of Autonomy software, was killed in a car accident.

And this one sounds like ‘the same day’ is someone’s name, and that person was killed in a car accident. What a weird name – and I once worked for a guy named Ransom Love, and this one still stands out. Do they shorten the name to ‘Sam’?

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1 point

Some languages depend not on a specific order of words in a sentence and everyone you meet on the internet is not a speaker of native English.

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21 points

I think we need more empirical data, in the form of more rich people sinking on super yachts to determine whether this is a typical case or not.

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5 points

A single case could be the outlier. We definitely need more superyacht sinkings to have a trustworthy dataset to draw conclusions from.

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2 points

We simply cannot risk not knowing.

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3 points

Science sometimes requires sacrifice for the greater good, we must be prepared to make a great sacrifice.

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3 points

While we are at it, let’s send more billionaires to the Titanic

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2 points

does the titanic sub count?

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