11 leaned Harris, 10 leaned Trump. And yet, 22 of them said Kamala won the debate, and only 2 of them (obviously “leans Trump”) said Trump won.
Participants were recruited from a spring survey conducted by The Post and the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. In the week before the debate, 12 said they would probably vote for Harris, 10 said they would probably vote for Trump, and three said they were unlikely to vote for either.
24 isn’t a very large poll, but this is an outstanding result. I’m pretty sure 91.6% Kamala vs 8.4% Trump is outside statistical error even with such a small sample size.
Kamala did good tonight people. Its a celebration night. But the next weeks its our job as debate watchers to meme and fuck up the Republican talking points and pain-points in their discussions.
Remember the pain points: “I have a concept of a plan”, “Tim and I are gun owners, no one is taking your guns away”, and the fucking nonsense Donald Trump did to defend himself when he invited the literal fucking Taliban to Camp. David.
Not everyone saw the debate. And even those who have seen the debate will have selective memory and forget about these moments. Its our job as the audience to remind people what they’re trying to hard to forget. That Donald Trump is a weak loser and Kamala put him in his place tonight.
I read that, and it’s a good sign although do wait a few days you polls. As someone who did statistical research professionally, do keep in mind that this is ultimately qualitative. It’s better to read what they had to say than how they voted. We’ll get a better idea in a few days, and even that will be somewhat flawed (political polls being low quality for the sake of speed).
I’d give you a length explanation about statistical methodology and validity, but I’d rather not to that unsolicited, lol.
I’d give you a length explanation about statistical methodology and validity, but I’d rather not to that unsolicited, lol.
I know how complex it is.
I’m approximately college-level statistics. But my sister is literally PH.d level in health-statistics (or more precisely: public health) and worked at the CDC and today works for FDA. Trust me, I get plenty of the advanced discussions / paradoxes / autocorrelation / etc. etc. stuff. So I know I’m out of my league in the overall matter, and that I’m oversimplifying.
Harris ripped trumps little shriveled balls off and crushed them in her hands. Anyone saying otherwise is very much in denial.
She ate his fucking lunch. Bodied his bitch ass.
Trump looked weak, old, and pathetic. Kamala destroyed him.
Depends on who you asked. I wanted to see what conservatives had to say about it, and they’re saying the exact opposite. Granted I was looking at gab.com, so take it with a grain of salt. I have no idea how representative that site is of conservatives viewpoints.
I just skimmed /r/conservative 's live thread and they are mostly talking about how unfair it was, with a few “i got a bad feeling about this” and “why are we being bigraded” posts, which is a pretty good indicator he lost imo. It’ll be 8nteresting to see what narratives they cling too once the dust settles and the astroturfers sync up.
We need to get ahead of this. In a few short hours, maybe just a day or two, they will consolidate support around Trump again.
Our job is to meme the best lines of Trump’s insanity as much as possible, and spread the message far and wide. Trump is easily manipulated by Kamala. Trump’s only leaders he respected tonight were Venezuela and Hungary / Orban. I dunno, I’m bad with memes. But you all get the gist.
/r/conservative will get itself together shortly. But we need to spike the football tonight.
My favorite line was “Now she wants to do transgender operations on illegal aliens that are in prison.” It doesn’t get more “old man yells at cloud” than that.
Our local news had a poll about it and shockingly Trump was leading the poll by a wide margin.
I was dumbfounded.
Your neighbors appear either to be absolute morons, or work in a foreign click factory.
QR code on the screen, so yes. My take is that his supporters load up on polls like this to make it seem as if he’s won the debate.
On the other hand, there are a lot of asshats around the area too.
