86 points

Harris’ takeover has been an an absolute success, but anyone claiming they knew it’d work out this way is lying or delusional. Just because we hit the low percentage chance that it all worked out doesn’t mean people were wrong for thinking it was most likely a bad idea because all available history and information basically assured that it was.

That said, anyone that got vitriolic about it (on either side, tbf) can get bent. This is all uncharted waters right now. Being a dick about it either way isn’t helping anything. Let’s not pretend to know that anything is certain.

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37 points

Yeah let’s maybe hold off on the victory laps until after the election. This thing is on a knife’s edge still and we got a lot of work to do still to get her over the line.

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9 points

Still a knife edge, but there’s more space on this knife edge.

Though that debate performance. …. She was always going to eviscerate him… but she did it with style….

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18 points

I knew that Harris would be a better candidate than Biden.

You’d have to be proverbially blind to not have seen it.

Did I know it would be this wildly successful? Not so much. I knew it could be, and I knew Harris would be better than Biden.

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5 points

I’m with you and all, but shouldn’t we wait before considering it a victory?

Plenty of racists and sexists out there who won’t say a word about Harris publicly but will vote for Trump the second they enter the booth no matter what.

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20 points
*

I’m not declaring victory- I’m saying Biden had almost zero chance of beating trump.

If he had lost like four of any of ten states, he’d have lost I. 2020. He won the EC by a razor’s edge.

And that was with all the shit of his presidency fresh. He’s had four years to retcon things, to shore up his base. And Biden had 4 years to fuck around on messaging.

He was and is taking a beating there- and some of it is actually legitimate (Gaza for example.)

Harris… it’s going to be a tough fight, but it’s her campaign to lose. Which is a night-and-day difference.

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4 points
*

No way to know if it “worked out” before all votes are counted (at the end it doesn’t matter how large or small the margin is, just on whose side it is). But yeah, you didn’t need to be a genius to know that she was the objectively better candidate.

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2 points

No where in my comment did I say that’s not true.

But again: if you can’t see the difference- and couldn’t see the difference before Biden dropped out, then I can only assume you weren’t paying attention.

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3 points

It wasn’t even a sure thing that Harris would be the candidate to replace Biden.

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17 points
*

I was going to bet a large amount of cash that Biden would lose. We hit rock bottom and all data proved Biden was at best at Jimmy Carter’s level of performance with added baggage like age-related risk. I said then and say now that anyone would be better. Whether that was Harris or whether that was by an open convention – which itself could’ve been exciting and similarly sucked away all attention from Trump – either way.

At the end of the day all the data convinced not just me but countless Democratic representatives and eventually Biden’s own campaign staff and advisors. Thank fuck he did the obviously right thing.

What I got wrong: I didn’t believe Harris would work out this well, and in fact I was hoping for Whitmer among others if I’m honest… But I’m happily proven wrong.

I was also wrong about the VP pick. I wanted Kelly but Walz is the whole package.

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7 points

This is what I don’t get. Everyone here had the sentiment of “we will vote for anyone who is not Donald Trump”. But then they balked at the suggestion that Biden should drop out and insisted that no one could replace him.

Now that Biden has been replaced… they’re saying Biden being replaced was a low percentage gamble. Something here doesn’t add up.

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1 point

No one is gonna admit they were wrong and mean to people when they are obviously the good guy and being good means never making mistakes.

Over inflated egos that think morality means perfection and leave no room for nuance. Simple. Fucked up American exceptionalism in the Democratic party as much as anywhere else.

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11 points

because all available history and information basically assured that it was

That’s actually just not true. It’s pretty interesting, but the main reason incumbents have such a high chance of re-election is because exactly this happened with most incumbents that had a low chance already: They got cut out by the party. So there has always been natural cherry-picking that only the “good” incumbents went on to actually be the nominee again (and therefore had a disproportionally high rate of winning).

Although I originally also thought otherwise, when looking at all the data, this was the rational & correct choice.

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-3 points

While I appreciate data, nothing I see at a glance is very supportive of an incumbent potus dropping out being a good idea. I dont have much time to dig into it right now, but of the two incumbents they highlight in the article, both were VPs that assumed the office after an assassination, and in both elections, the incumbent party lost the white house. Neither are particularly similar to the situation in 2024, nor do they suggest that pulling the incumbent would be a good idea.

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8 points

womp womp i knew it. something about having a cadaver up on stage just spoke to me…

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4 points

Maybe you’re some kind of genius… Maybe it was that whole polls showing both Biden and Trump being beaten by not just any other Democrat or republican, they were polling under THEORETICAL OPPONENTS. Each of them could have been beaten by the THOUGHT of a different candidate.

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-1 points

fr tho im dumb as shit i just knew how to read is all it was 😭

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7 points

doesn’t mean people were wrong

This monologue of yours doesn’t mean they weren’t.

Just say “I am not going to apologize and move on…”

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0 points

Why should they apologize?

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3 points

Because that’s the theme of the post we are discussing…

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6 points

The only reservation I had was that the democrats would pick a worse candidate. Because democrats always do that shit.

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0 points

it all worked out

ARGH DON’T JINX IT

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-1 points

It’s so fucking gross seeing people act like this over something so serious. The same people would have been unbelievably indignant had they turned out to be wrong, like the absolute children that they are.

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-1 points

Harris’ takeover has been an an absolute success, but anyone claiming they knew it’d work out this way is lying or delusional.

This is cope. It was obvious.

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8 points

“Cope” lol. Take some time offline. You obviously need it.

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52 points

Raise your hand if you were called a Russian bot for daring to question Biden

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20 points

There’s still plenty of time for you to become a Russian bot. Never give up on your dreams!

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16 points

I guess the Russian bots are downvoting you.

I got so much shit on Lemmy for saying Biden should drop after his debate. Was literally called a Russian bot multiple times.

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11 points

🙋‍♂️

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7 points

my hand fucking shattered against the ceiling after reading this comment

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7 points

I mean we should be questioning Trump’s aptitude every chance we get for the same reasons they were doing it - it makes him look weak, it generates more discussion and therefore more doubt, and it drives down voter enthusiasm.

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3 points

The reason nobody questions Trump is because there is no question. He is incompetent. Questioning it like questioning if the sky is blue. The only people who don’t know he is incompetent are those who have lost all touch with reality. There is no swaying them because simple things like facts mean nothing to them so what is the point of continuing to shout the same things that every remotionally rational person already knows.

At least arguing about biden can lead to some actual change as we can see by the fact he isn’t running anymore. We can’t change the republicans but we can make the democrat party better so hopefully they can win.

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Questioning him in public forums felt like it would’ve helped that very bad man. I’m glad the Joenors applied pressure - that’s very appropriate, e.g. donors calling out that garbage debate behind closed doors.

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3 points

Russian bot is the new Godwin’s Law. Nazis are common now and easy to spot. But even a leftist argument that’s arguably suboptimal will be interpreted as a Russian bot.

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2 points

Over and fucking over again.

Crust, that was pathetic low bar dismissal.

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2 points
*

Well Russian bots were spreading the same rhetoric since they were trying to undermine Biden’s campaign in order to get their Russian asset to win.

Just glad those bots helped the Democrats in the long run even if they didn’t mean it. It has been a lot more quiet from those fronts since the change.

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4 points

Right… Because Trump definitely didn’t want to go up against Biden so much that he begs for him back. Still gonna just excuse yourself by imagining it was bots cause it’s easier than questioning your warped view of reality. I get it.

Not quiet cause the Democrats and left that wanted the change got it and therefore didn’t need to keep raising the point against dismissal and denial… Sure.

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4 points

yeah for sure the russian bots were pushing rhetoric that would replace literally the worst possible candidate to beat trump with someone better. that’s totally real and a strategy that was happening.

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-2 points

It’s the equivalent of people walking by a bunch of Russians beating a politician in the street and jumping in to help them acting like you were doing it for a better candidate… That nobody know who one was… When nobody even ran against the candidate… The parting yourself on the back when some MUST step in them patting yourself on the back because we lucked the fuck out and Democratic Leadership actually nutted up including having the guy that got his ass beat basically give up because he was battered.

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-1 points
*

lol my favorite were those hiding behind Alan Lichtman… The guy who didn’t predict a winner at the time yet and whose pre-prediction endorsement in 2016 was Hillary before later saying she’d lose lol.

You should see some of my submissions of focus groups post-debate insta-downvoted lol.

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40 points

I’ve already apologized here, but I’ll do it again. I’m sorry. I was wrong. I didn’t think there was enough time to generate the support needed. I’m really impressed by Kamala’s campaign effectiveness.

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3 points

accepted

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28 points

I was wrong, and happy to be so now.

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3 points

slay

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27 points

Yeah, I admit, that was me. I think the rapid political cycle in news made me think the election was closer than it was.

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5 points

thx for being a real one

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