91 points

16 millions vacant houses across the US, not counting the empty offices buildings. 11 millions houses empty in Europe. In both cases enough vacancy to houses the homeless population and more.

permalink
report
reply
8 points

The biggest issue with homelessness isn’t the lack of homes available to house people, it’s the lack of mental health and addiction support

permalink
report
parent
reply
28 points

I’m sure having a home goes a long way towards improving your mental health when you go without a home for long enough.

permalink
report
parent
reply
28 points

This has always felt like one of those arguments that just kicks the can.

Yes, there are 100% some homeless people who are in such a bad place that they’d outright refuse a home even if you gave it to them free of charge (or would immediately sell it for drug money/burn it down because it’s filled with alien Spyware or something), but I’d wager that if you actually gave a lot of these people a stable home, and food in their fridge so they weren’t literally fighting for their lives on the street, they’d be able to self improve a lot more than people give them credit for.

A lot of homeless are just people who had one bad turn after another and are just unable to break the cycle because our system really isn’t built to let them do so. I think we should also be providing mental Healthcare and addiction support to these people, but saying that should come before giving them a sense of stability and safety is ass backwards imo

permalink
report
parent
reply
11 points

Other countries are being more aggressive about providing housing for the unhoused. Notably, Finland has been putting people in sponsored housing since the late 80’s. The net result is a rapidly decreasing unhoused population. Most of the people who are given homes get on their feet, get the kinds of support they need, and reach a good place in life. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/02/how-finland-solved-homelessness

Many articles title it that Finland has “solved” homlessness, which isn’t 100% true, but the approach has been wildly successful compared to most other nation’s strategies.

permalink
report
parent
reply
1 point
*
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply
14 points

And rampant real estate speculation

permalink
report
parent
reply
6 points

A big thing is where are those homes located? Are they near social services? Are they near jobs? Skills training? Is putting a homeless person in them with no income going to allow said homeless person to build a life?

Most homeless go to cities where there are social services, and lots of people around so they can beg for an income. Most empty houses are not in cities.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points

Yes, many of those homes are located in or near cities. Of course more public transportation is needed.

permalink
report
parent
reply
1 point

Have these homeless people been offered houses in small towns and they refused? Feels like a lot of assumptions are being made here

permalink
report
parent
reply
60 points

… isn’t that the point?

permalink
report
reply
49 points

Right?! Love how the article frames it as a bad thing because it doesn’t make sense from a capitalist standpoint.

permalink
report
parent
reply
9 points
*

It certainly isn’t capitalist to have such an insane gap between offer and supply. If lack of offer is a problem, the issues with such enormous oversupply are even greater. Just wasteful. Damaging to the environment. And introduces a lot of economic woes.

permalink
report
parent
reply
9 points

Oversupply of life saving goods is a good thing. Only under capitalism is it bad, which is why we have so many preventable deaths and deaths of poverty. Overbuilding housing and making it available to everyone in anticipation of localized population booms or migrations is exactly what the government should be doing.

permalink
report
parent
reply
7 points

Ah yes, because housing as a right rather than an investment is a bad thing.

permalink
report
parent
reply
6 points

Who do you think built all of those houses? Capitalists who were speculating on real estate.

permalink
report
parent
reply
0 points

Just no. It’s something libs seemingly can’t understand : you need surplus to face problems and adapt to a changing situation or a crisis without people dying. Problem is that libs care more about money than people, so they seek an equilibrium where supply is right below demand so the capitalists can exploit the people.

permalink
report
parent
reply
-2 points

It certainly isn’t capitalist to have such an insane gap between offer and supply

Sure it is! Capitalists just do it in the opposite direction; keep supply low so prices stay high.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points

It is a bad thing! How are investors holding on to dozens of empty units at ridiculous prices supposed to get a return on investment if the market’s oversaturated with living spaces?

Looks like we’re gonna have to start tearing them down to reduce supply.

permalink
report
parent
reply
16 points

It’s a problem for people who indebted themselves to buy those homes with a valuation based on scarcity. Also a problem for the real estate Chinese companies, sector which represents a quarter of Chinese economy.

permalink
report
parent
reply
-4 points
*

Sounds to me like China is trying to solve both of those problems by lowering property scarcity - if this stays controlled it will make properties cheaper so people don’t need to acquire as much debt and it will shrink the real estate sector. Since this housing is built through centralized control and not a market, it should be totally under control.

Obviously something unexpected could happen that blindsides the Party, but it looks like politics is in command and everything is proceeding as expected.

permalink
report
parent
reply
11 points
*
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply
59 points

That’s a good thing, right? It means there is no homelessness in the entire country, right?

permalink
report
reply
25 points
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply
7 points

Correct

permalink
report
parent
reply
3 points

Not so great if large aspects of your economic growth is tied to the real estate market. Theoretically the value of property is tied in some way to scarcity. If there is an abundance of housing, then there’s not a real reason for property value to mature.

If the rate of maturity is less than the rate of this inflation, then you are no longer creating an investment, you are creating debt. If a property investment group, a private bank, or state bank has over invested too heavily in developing the real estate market… there’s a pretty good chance that it’s going to have a hard time remaining in solvency.

This is an example of why a lot of people accuse the CCP of giving up on communism after the Deng reforms. Satiating the needs of the market too often conflicts with the needs of the people.

Theoretically in a planned economy you would be correct. There’s no motivation too build too many homes, nor is there is there a scarcity of homes. Both scenario are conditions of a capitalist market reacting to the perceived needs of the consumer or the market.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points

Real estate speculators make too many buildings, property values fall, people can buy homes, and everyone wins. Right? Oh, except for real estate speculators, but who cares about them anyway.

permalink
report
parent
reply
1 point

In a planned economy, it wouldn’t be unexpected to over-build. In fact, it perfectly makes sense, same as we would over produce a small surplus of anything. Housing isn’t ten I to create, and so having reserves ready for use when they’re needed in the future is a good thing. It may be bad from capitalism perspective, because you aren’t getting a great return on the investment yet. But from a planned economy perspective it’s good.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points

In a planned economy, it wouldn’t be unexpected to over-build. In fact

I wouldn’t call that over building though, and that wouldn’t explain hundreds of millions of extra homes. Building that aren’t being used begin to break down quite rapidly.

permalink
report
parent
reply
35 points
*

Meanwhile, the rest of the world has a severe housing crisis and there is a global shortage of concrete sand aggregate.

permalink
report
reply
14 points

The problem with China’s real estate market is that it’s entirely built on false promises and leveraged debt.

The government provides cheap loans to citizens to buy homes they will never live. All in an effort to drive the country’s GDP… but eventually you will either:

  1. Run out of capital to fuel this construction
  2. Rebase the value of these paper homes and the economy collapses on a scale 10x that of the 2008 housing crisis

This article has nothing to do with unhoused people, nor an overvalued housing market pushing out middle class buyers. The economics of the Chinese market are completely dissimilar from the western (US particularly) markets.

It’s entirely about how the Chinese government has an unsustainable market segment dedicated to building things that people don’t want or need… other than to have wealth on paper.

permalink
report
reply
5 points

The root cause that all comments here in Lemmy miss is the Chinese approach to tax funding, which is entirely built on cities and provinces being expected to generate tax income through land sales to property developers, and then public officials competency and rise inside the party being measured by the size of that tax income generated trough land sale.

China needs to adopt a western style of income and consumption taxation if they don’t have one but I understand that internal enforcements is very lax (to prevent popular protests) and corruption (that ends up siphoning off any revenue raised through taxes).

In short, that housing stock will remain unused and, without maintenance and continued use, will only deteriorate over time, leaving cities with a terrible burdensome legacy

permalink
report
parent
reply
4 points

The CCP basically “encouraged” those with capital to park it in these massive make-work projects knowing full well that any real demand-based natural economic equilibrium wouldn’t support that housing inventory. They pumped up their economic numbers using tools like this, but like all centrally managed economies they are running out of levers to pull. It’s going to be ugly when this stuff all comes to a head.

permalink
report
parent
reply
7 points

How? A 65 million unit surplus is more or less in line with other countries: 65/1400 = 5%. At an average family household size of 3, that gives an aggregate household vacancy rate of (up to) 15% (ignoring, of course, that not everyone who owns a home has a family). This also ignores how things like second homes, vacation homes, and excess rural housing stock is counted (given that, y’know, China has had a massive rural-to-urban migration over the past few decades).

The US census reports a vacancy rate of about 10%, and even New York has a vacancy rate of 3%.

Approximately 89.6 percent of the housing units in the United States in the second quarter 2023 were occupied and 10.4 percent were vacant.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points
*

Didn’t we just come off a decade of record low interest rates? Are we all fucked?

permalink
report
parent
reply
0 points

It’s not a matter of if the Second Great Depression will happen, but when

permalink
report
parent
reply

World News

!worldnews@lemmy.ml

Create post

News from around the world!

Rules:

  • Please only post links to actual news sources, no tabloid sites, etc

  • No NSFW content

  • No hate speech, bigotry, propaganda, etc

Community stats

  • 5.7K

    Monthly active users

  • 11K

    Posts

  • 118K

    Comments