“Shortly after 2027” is a fun phrasing. Means “not before 2028”, but mentioning “2027” so it doesn’t seem so far away.
I interpret it as “please bro, keep the bubble going bro, just 3 more years bro, this time for real bro”
4 2026, 8 2028, 16 etc. (still amazed people don’t call him out on his exponential bullshit)
Which AI models, though? Your synthetic text extruder LLMs that can’t accurately surpass humans at anything unless you train them specifically to do that and which are kinda shite even then unless you look at it exactly the right way? Or that fabled brain simulation AI that doesn’t even exist?
Instead, he prefers to describe future AI systems as a “country of geniuses in a data center,” […] [and] that such systems would need to be “smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across most relevant fields.”
Ah, “future” AI systems. As in the ones we haven’t built yet, don’t know how to build, and don’t even know whether we can build them. But let’s just feed more shit into Habsburg GPT in the meantime, maybe one will magically pop out.
this statement definitely makes me believe AIs can at least replace CEOs right about now because they are largely redundant and mostly based on bullshit
“Amodei co-founded Anthropic in 2021 with his sister, Daniela Amodei, and five other former OpenAI employees.”
guy who needs the AI bubble to continue says AI will be the best thing ever in just a couple years.
“We’ve recognized that we’ve reached the point as a technological civilization where the idea, there’s huge abundance and huge economic value, but the idea that the way to distribute that value is for humans to produce economic labor, and this is where they feel their sense of self worth,” he added. “Once that idea gets invalidated, we’re all going to have to sit down and figure it out.”
Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, is one of the last people on earth that you’d want to have this conversation with.
Really starting to get a bit sick of Ars Technica. They’re OK for general interest tech stuff, but their editorial line (and some of their commenter base) have been really credulous about AI vendors’ PR.
With Ars, the best option is to stick to general tech, science, public policy and tech culture. I say this as someone who has read them for ~20 years and has been subscribing for ~10+ years.
I’ve seen people criticize Eric Berger for being up Musk’s ass about SpaceX, though I’m simply not that passionate about space stuff anymore. And so far I don’t see them posting anything about the NIH freezeout, even though that surely affects a vast swath of their reader base. Seems odd.
