Long story short, this year is my exam preparation year and due to my nature I will take extreme measures to prevent distraction and focus on studying. I will decommision my PC, stop browsing Linux & tech related websites and leave this beautiful place called Lemmy. To make things clear, I am not influenced by anyone for doing this.
I want to use this post as a time capsule to revisit after 10 months, so I will write my predictions and also collect everyone’s. What do you expect to see in Linux and tech scene in 10 months from now? Here are my predictions:
- Pop OS 24.04 will be awesome and be the go-to recommendation when it is released
- SteamOS for PCs will not be released yet
- Linux market share will be around %2-2.5 in Steam hardware survey
- Plasma 6 will be released around January and will be a bit buggy, but most rough edges will be smoothed by the next release in 3-4 months
- NVK will have performance parity with official drivers in certain configurations
- Wayland will gain wider adoption, even on Nvidia
- There will be little to no progress in compatibility with current anti-cheat blocked games
Side note:
- Web environment integrity will be adopted only in education industry because it is dominated by Chromebooks at least in US. It will not be adopted by streaming services because highest level of DRM is only available on Edge and Safari. Even if Chrome had WEI support it would be meaningless because Netflix will stream 720p / 1080p anyways. MSFT and Apple will not implement WEI in their browsers in order to preserve the end-to-end control they have currently. Banks will also not implement WEI because they may be still serving customers using legacy (Windows 7) technology or simply using Firefox.
I really hope nvk gets performance parity I’d love to be able to ditch the proprietary drivers and be able to use Wayland on my PC
here my prediction:
- gnome 44;
- plasma 6;l
- steamOS will be released;
Star Citizen may run even better on Linux due to the expected switch of backend from DX11 to Vulkan and they will start pushing out native Linux builds. Or it will be more boken due to lack of support for Vulkan APIs in wine and no native build ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I predict, when you finally run updates, you’ll have minor keyring issues to work around.
Also after you reboot, if you’re on Nvidia, your DM may not load until you update your drivers.
I think there will be even more support for anti cheat games and there is no way NVK even on its supported cards will have performance parity with the proprietary driver.
