15 points

There it is again: Faster Than Expected.

We seem to be pretty terrible about accounting for feedback loops when we create prediction models.

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5 points

“Summed up, the industry’s treadmill is speeding up and this will make production growth more difficult than it was in the past,”

And I am darn happy about that! Still shamelessly talking about growth, that’s just crazy.

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3 points

And yet, they’re still drilling and fracking like mad.

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2 points

Seems we weren’t that good at predicting capacity of a well in the first place then.

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4 points
*

Effective life of a fracking well is about three years. It can be refracked a couple more times, each with a lower yield. That sweet spots are developed first exacerbates the problem.

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