Abacus Data’s latest polling has the federal Conservatives out to their biggest lead in over a decade. Unless there is a drastic change over the summer, Canadians ought to prepare for a Conservative majority at some point in the next year or so.
At the Museum of Vancouver, ‘True Tribal’ explores the visual language of mark making from around the world. Reclaiming Wet’suwet’en Storytelling in ‘Yintah’ Reclaiming Wet’suwet’en Storytelling in ‘Yintah’
At this year’s DOXA, catch a new wave of Indigenous-led docs. A Q&A with Freda Huson and director-journalist Michael Toledano.
No one should be paying closer attention than Danielle Smith and the United Conservative Party.
A change of government in Ottawa would have a major impact on provincial politics in Alberta. With no whipping boy or scapegoat in Ottawa, the provincial UCP would need to shift focus and even rebrand.
At the same time, the Fair Deal strategy launched by the Jason Kenney government and accelerated by Smith has created a set of demands and expectations upon the next prime minister that may be difficult to walk back.
PP is so fake, it will be painful to see him as a prime minister, but Trudeau had his shot at election reform and lied to people, so he is ultimately to blame.
This will not be comforting to the vulnerable people who will inevitably be hurt by Pollievre’s government.
No, it’s no comfort at all. It also wouldn’t be an issue if people didn’t so quickly and consistently vote against their interests.
Everyone pointing to Trudeau and blaming him for breaking his promise on voting reform still voted for Trudeau when the NDP has been running on voting reform for decades.
People don’t actually want it. They just want someone to blame.
To be honest, the Liberals don’t want election reform, at least not the way you think.
If we have proportional representation, the Liberals (and the Conservatives, let’s be honest) would never govern again.
As it stands, it’s quite possible to form a majority government with ~35% of the vote, which suits the LPC and CPC just fine, as they can just swap chairs every four to eight years. Under PR, they’d need to win >50%, which hasn’t happened in almost fifty years, and even before that was still very, very rare. The LPC or CPC would need to share power with the NDP or BQ to get anything done, which means that a) parliament would have to represent the electorate, and the electorate is much for left-of-centre than the people they vote for, and b) the LPC and CPC couldn’t depend on the favour of their donors since buying them wouldn’t really worth the money it is today.
The Liberals would sooner go through a twelve-year term in the wilderness than see a Canada that’s run like a western European country. So yes, they’d rather lose, and lose hard, knowing they’d be back in eventually, then advance real electoral reform and lose their sole access to the levers of power forever.
@Snowshadow @psvrh @skozzii i plead american ignorance of canadian politics. but russian troll farm and 50 cent party’s modus operandi is interference in the west via internal divide and conquer on easily manipulated topics
that’s all twitter is now, and such disinfo and manipulation accounts are active on mastodon as well, and we will see them more and more
luckily, we have more responsive mods and better network architecture here to handle their psyop
So just like now then. The Liberals are backed by the NDP and maintain power.
Germany has been dominated by two parties since the war under MMP. And proportional representation has done absolutely nothing to inhibit the right wing authoritarians coming into power in much of Eastern Europe, and making gains in Western Europe.
In Israel, Netanyahu’s Likud control government with the support of 24% of the electorate in the last election. He had to put together a dog’s breakfast of even more extreme parties to do it, but that’s always a possibility in that sort of system.
@Sir_Osis_of_Liver @TSG_Asmodeus @skozzii @psvrh
And yet
ANOTHER account with zero followers that makes three of you who opened accounts in June 2023.
You know, this bad take about Trudeau having “lied to people” is part of the reason we are going to end up with a CPC majority government undoing good progress across a whole host of important issues.
Yep. That was the biggest reason I voted for him.
As they say down south, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice… You can’t get fooled again! (Because I’ll be voting NDP.)
No, he didn’t. This is the fantasy narrative that election reformers tell themselves.
The reality is that these efforts always blow up because there is never a consensus on what to change it to, and the general public just doesn’t care.
And with the blowback they got for their efforts, they won’t touch it again for at least another 15-20 years. The CPC would never even consider it. The NDP are as far from power as ever being essentially dead east of Ontario, and spotty through the rest of the country.
So people can sulk if they want to, but it’s going to be status quo for the foreseeable future.
No, sorry, this take is a meme, not the truth of what happened. We don’t have electoral reform because the NDP banded together with the CPC to kill it in committee. The NDP, a rump party, couldn’t get what they wanted so they got nothing at all.
The CPC, NDP and GPC deserve every bit as much blame, if not more, for the failure to move away from fptp. Why? They banded together in committee to poison any hope of getting electoral reform past the Senate or even the house. Trudeau , naively I think, promised to do things differently from Harper. True to his promise he balanced the electoral reform house committee by popular vote, instead of using his majority power. This meant that the opposition parties could outvote the liberals in committee and, seemingly forgotten by everyone, the opposition parties welded that power to deliver a complete nonsensical , posion pill filled committee report / reccomendation to the house which had no real chance of passing. That document, a worst of all ideas document if I ever saw it, threw out all ideas put forward by the LPC (the majority in the house, who had a free vote on this) instead favoring CPC demands for a referendum, NDP demands for a vague and nonspecific system that wasn’t STV, but was proportional. The GPC and Bloc got in on it, and passed this report that had no chance , none, of passing the house. Even if it had passed the house it wouldn’t have got past the Senate and the committee delayed their report so long nothing could be done before the next election.
I know parliamentary procedure is boring, and most people don’t follow it, but I do and I saw what happened here. The LPC failure was only in so far as they didn’t just stomp all over the opposition to impose their changes. The LPC acted in good faith instead and got politiked so bad people still blame them, reducing the whole thing down to “Trudeau break promise”.
Considering forest fires started in March this year, from hot-spots left over from last year’s record-shattering forest fires…
“Unless there is a drastic change over the summer” is going to be videos of PP saying ‘axe the tax’ overlaid with videos of people escaping the flames and their homes burned to the ground.
The issue is Con voters don’t care. Hell the Cons voted against adding ‘climate change is real’ to their platform.
Good luck everyone.
Why would Smith rebrand as PP will give her what she wanted. PP is not for federal power and jurisdiction over local affairs. He wants a weak federal government.
