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The current models depend on massive investment into server farms. They aren’t generating profit, and probably can’t. When the companies involved realize it’s not going to happen, they’ll pull it all. That will generate a new AI winter, and in 20 or 30 years, maybe the pieces will be picked up and the field will go through another summer cycle. This sort of boom/bust cycle has happened before in AI.

And no, self-hosted models aren’t going to make up for it. They aren’t as powerful, and more importantly, they will never be able to drive mass market adaptation.

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0 points
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The current models depend on massive investment into server farms

I hate to tell you this but your knowledge of AI appears to be limited to 2023 ;)

You missed the entire Deepseek fiasco which basically put an end to the “just order more chips” strategy of AI

Chinese company DeepSeek made waves earlier this year when it revealed it had built models comparable to OpenAI’s flagship products for a tiny fraction of the training cost. Likewise, researchers from Seattle’s Allen Institute for AI (Ai2) and Stanford University claim to have trained a model for as little as US$50.

https://theconversation.com/microsoft-cuts-data-centre-plans-and-hikes-prices-in-push-to-make-users-carry-ai-costs-250932

Or if you’d like to read an absolutely mega article on it: https://stratechery.com/2025/deepseek-faq/

And no, self-hosted models aren’t going to make up for it. They aren’t as powerful, and more importantly, they will never be able to drive mass market adaptation

Both Samsung and Apple have on device AI already, you’ve not seen the Apple ad? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iL88A5F9V3k

They’re only planning more and more features using it

They aren’t as powerful

We’ve had insane gains in locallama’s since 2022, including but not limited to this from the other day https://lemmy.world/post/30442991

And every few weeks a newer and improved model comes out, I’ve never seen tech so amazing and progress so fast as I have AI

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Deepseek is not the huge leap it appears. It’s better, but not at all what was initially claimed.

Nor is smartphone AI going to do the things people what AI to do. It won’t let the CEO take your job.

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2 points

why are you linking me to articles i read ages ago?

Nor is smartphone AI going to do the things people what AI to do. It won’t let the CEO take your job.

You think AI is only useful if it’s taking someones job?

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