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9 points
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It looks like they’re stretched incredibly thin at this point. I recall how Nebenzya quipped a little while back how soon the only thing anybody will be talking about is Ukraine’s unconditional surrender. The Kharkov collapse might be what he was alluding to.

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5 points

One may add a potential “Sumy direction” opening up on top of that and you have a situation where you cannot hold the line anywhere. The part that horrifies me the most is the fact that their draconian mobilization law comes into effect tomorrow, and we all remember which period of WW2 was the worst in terms of casualties for the German Nazis.

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6 points

Yeah, now that Ukrainian forces have been thinned out, it’s impossible to hold all of the front for them. They will likely start kidnapping more people, but I imagine we’ll just start seeing mass surrenders since they have no interest in fighting. There are already a lot of reports of that happening now. As ideologically committed people are replaced with conscripts the combat potential is going to keep degrading.

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