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49 points

Will he win again? Time will tell - he still needs to make it through the primaries, and I think Ron DeSantis is playing better with old school republicans than Trump ever did, but last time Trump did beat Mitt Romney who was pretty widely respected, so its certainly possible. If that happens, I think he is likely to beat Biden. A lot of people voted Biden because he was distinctly “Not Trump”, but his victory’s have been poorly televised, and his defeats make him look ineffectual and near senile (thanks Murdoch media).

He has already said that if he is elected he will pardon himself. That’s never been done before, so would almost certainly go to the supreme court, but since thats Republican controlled I would expect that to get rubber stamped. He’s not going to prison if he wins.

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6 points

Except that he could be convicted before the election in New York and Georgia.

POTUS has no pardon power over state crimes.

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3 points

Nothing in the Constitution that says if he is convicted he can’t run.

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3 points

Right, that wasn’t in question. I was responding to this poster saying that if he won the election, he’d pardon himself and not go to prison. I was just reminding him that Trump would not have that option for state crimes. So he’d be using an 8x6 cell instead of the Oval Office.

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-2 points

Yes - obviously if he does get sent to prison he cannot be elected president. I don’t think there’s precedent for this, so it’d probably go to the supreme court too, but since convicts can’t vote I ASSUME they can’t run.

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4 points

Bad assumption. No law prevents running while in prison. Eugene Debs ran for president while in prison, for example.

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2 points

When did Trump beat Mittens Romney?

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0 points

Oops, good catch, I was misremembering.

Mitt was the 2012 republican Nominee against Obama, but he didn’t run for the 2016 primary. Ted Cruz was the second frontrunner that Trump beat. Now I wonder if Mitt would have beaten Trump in 2016, because I stand by that he was pretty well respected, but I guess we’ll never know.

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1 point

A lot of people voted Biden because he was distinctly “Not Trump”, but his victory’s have been poorly televised, and his defeats make him look ineffectual and near senile (thanks Murdoch media).

I mean you’re right but…

Biden is still “not trump”, and most people likely to be influenced by Murdoch media are probably already trump voters. Also Trump’s position has deteriorated a lot since the last election - the legal problems must have cost him some supporters at least. Surely there’s a not-insignificant number of people that are starting to realise that his populist rhetoric is just that - he hates his base.

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