A new poll shows President Joe Biden leading Trump 44% to 37%, with Kennedy notching 16%.

Released by Marist in partnership with NPR and PBS Newshour on Tuesday, the poll shows a five-point drop among Democrats for Biden with Kennedy in the race. Meanwhile, the survey indicates a 10-point drop among Republicans for Trump with RFK Jr. on the ticket.

16 points

One thing that’s been nice on Lemmy so far is we can actually discuss polls without all the top level posts being something along the lines of “Don’t listen to polls, VOTE!”… as if anyone who subs to the politics section of a social media site doesn’t know voting is important.

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5 points

I agree, but I still think you might be surprised how many actually don’t sometimes or always in practice. I would assume it’s less than the average person, but it’s not zero.

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0 points

I’m actually curious how accurate/meaningful this poll is, and whether we found expect to see this continue over the year.

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1 point

as a foreign national I can’t vote, only listen to polls so…

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3 points

Me too. I’ll never visit America even, just caught up in the drama.

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1 point

Our political system might be fucked up, but at least it does produce a lot of drama. You’re welcome world (or we’re sorry if it caused you harm).

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29 points

Yeah no shit the party of anti-vaxxers and lying about history is more susceptible to grifters.

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13 points
*

If he pulls enough from Biden to cause the contingent election scenario (in which case, the incoming congress decides the winner not by voting seats, but with each state delegation able to cast 1 vote) it might not matter to the GOP if RFK pulls more from Trump than from Biden.

If you game out the probabilities- It’s very unlikely that Trump beats Biden It’s also unlikely that RFK gets enough votes to deny Biden an outright win, but is it less so? It’s very likely that the GOP will control more state delegations than the Democrats will, by virtue of their state-level gerrymanders.

The contingent election moonshot might be the GOP’s best shot at winning control of the White House in 2024

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2 points

It does matter if it causes some states to flip to Biden instead of trump and give their college votes to Biden instead of trump.

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26 points

Funny, I’ve been told by right-wing commenters that RFK Jr is “Democrats’ kryptonite”. Are you saying they have no idea what they’re talking about, and their model of the inner workings of anyone to the left of Mitch McConnell is faulty?

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17 points

My 64 year old father who doesn’t really pay attention to politics brought up RFK Jr as trouble for Biden. He seemed disappointed when I said the vaccine conspiracy and not supporting Ukraine would sink him.

It’s weird to hear him bring up Kennedy Jr out of the blue like that. He’s been drowning himself in crypto currency stuff these last few years, so it’s not a good sign that he’s started talking about the WEF and shit like that.

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4 points

Might be good to have some politics chats, in particular about propaganda and right wing indoctrination via crypto, YouTube and right wing media. He’s obviously getting some kind of influence and there are too many stories about parents being lost to hatred and fear, despite being perfectly normal in the years prior.

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12 points

Thank fuck.

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