“plunges” by a whole 10%, and primarily only during the initial 2 days. Has since mostly rebounded. That is disappointing.
Will see what happens July 1st of course when apps finally stop working.
I think this is just the leading edge unless folks are lining up to replace moderators in most communities.
Systems tend to fail slowly, and then all at once.
Most fediverse denizens have noticed how sane and measured the dialogue is, which is entirely a product of the audience who is here right now. But everyone’s got a threshold, whether Reddit loses everyone or not isn’t relevant if they couldn’t be profitable with all of us. There’s a death spiral coming, and if there’s anything left Reddit will have to functionally change.
Easiest to think of Reddit as a party grinding on too long and starting to get rowdier, and the bouncers just quit.
Yeah, July 1st will be interesting. The important thing is that the various alternatives have gotten seeded with users who are contributing enough content to make them viable. That means that when the 1st hits users will have viable places to go.
Honestly, when I first got to Beehaw a couple weeks ago it was pretty sparse and 10 comments in a thread was a lot. Now 10 comments is thin and the low hundreds are becoming the norm. It’s growing and snowballing.
The only reason I haven’t left left is because Apollo still works. That will cease in the next day and I will be done unless Google directs me to there for something I need.
Same for me. As long as opening Relay brings me to reddit, it’s hard to stop using it. But once that stops, or becomes ad ridden or whatever, there’s no way in hell I will install the official reddit app or anything like that, and I hate using a browser on mobile so not doing that either… So yeah. That’ll be it for me. So far Beehaw/lemmy is shaping up to replace it though.
Oh without a doubt.
I do miss some of the silly quirky fun subs (r/HyruleEngineering I’m looking at you), but my normal usage needs have been met by a blend of Lemmy and Kbin (if Lemmy is having a rough day, I subscribed to the same communities on Kbin and can access from that side, or vice-versa).
but 10% is 60+% of actual human engagement. The rest are just bots talking to themselves and clicking ad links.
I think reddit will linger for a very long time even as the quality goes down the toilet. There are millions of casuals on there just doomscrolling that don’t seem to mind the ads and the horrible official app/new website. It’s still interesting to follow the story as it unfolds, but I’m also slowly losing that interest as I continue to explore lemmy. We’ll all mostly forget about it at some point, and that will be a good day for us, regardless of what happens to reddit and it’s disengaged remnants of a user base.
Of course it will, Digg is still around and so is Myspace. These sites rarely “die” in the sense of shutting down but just become a husk of its former self.
Meanwhile, Threadiverse is on the verge of reaching 100k active monthly accounts.
Of course, the numbers are incomparable. But this whole thing made Threadiverse into a viable space for a lot of people. Reddit app developers are starting to develop apps for Lemmy/Kbin. Dozens of new instances got set up. The whole space is bigger, more resilient, and leaps and bounds more vibrant than it was in May and before (I’ve been here for years).
A lot of people will come back to Reddit. But a lot of people will also remain here. And this space will be there the next time Reddit craps the bed, better prepared to take the influx.
hopefully there will be even bigger drop in usage on july 1st
The small drop in users isn’t super surprising. I’m more interested in the drop of mods and tools. If more garbage slips through on the regular than I can imagine users start to drop off from their favorite subs turning to shit. Either way I’m done with reddit
