I think reddit will linger for a very long time even as the quality goes down the toilet. There are millions of casuals on there just doomscrolling that don’t seem to mind the ads and the horrible official app/new website. It’s still interesting to follow the story as it unfolds, but I’m also slowly losing that interest as I continue to explore lemmy. We’ll all mostly forget about it at some point, and that will be a good day for us, regardless of what happens to reddit and it’s disengaged remnants of a user base.
Of course it will, Digg is still around and so is Myspace. These sites rarely “die” in the sense of shutting down but just become a husk of its former self.
hopefully there will be even bigger drop in usage on july 1st
The small drop in users isn’t super surprising. I’m more interested in the drop of mods and tools. If more garbage slips through on the regular than I can imagine users start to drop off from their favorite subs turning to shit. Either way I’m done with reddit
Meanwhile, Threadiverse is on the verge of reaching 100k active monthly accounts.
Of course, the numbers are incomparable. But this whole thing made Threadiverse into a viable space for a lot of people. Reddit app developers are starting to develop apps for Lemmy/Kbin. Dozens of new instances got set up. The whole space is bigger, more resilient, and leaps and bounds more vibrant than it was in May and before (I’ve been here for years).
A lot of people will come back to Reddit. But a lot of people will also remain here. And this space will be there the next time Reddit craps the bed, better prepared to take the influx.
I’ll be interested to see how much the usage drops after third-party apps go offline in the next few days.