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-4 points

It would be folly for China to equivacate the two.

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2 points

The US’s own war games indicate they cannot hold Taiwan.

China’s calculus for whether they need to invade Taiwan is based around whether there will be a peaceful reunification in the future or if it will be used as a springboard for military action against mainland China.

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1 point

Maybe I should have been more specific, but that’s kind of what I mean. There is real Sinophobia in the US, especially among law makers. So I would see Taiwan given very little support, or a quick escalation to real war.

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